Kahneman, the recipient Nobel prize (with Tversky and others) provided important insights concerning Clinicians decision-making under uncertainty

daniel-kahneman-phd

Probabilistic reasoning and clinical decision-making: do doctors overestimate diagnostic probabilities?

“Clinicians make decisions in the face of uncertainty. Kahneman, the recipient of this year’s Nobel prize, (with Tversky and others) provided important insights concerning judgment and decision-making under uncertainty.1,,2 In order to deal with uncertainty, doctors often over-emphasize the importance of diagnostic tests, at the expense of the history and physical examination, believing laboratory tests to be more accurate.3 This ignores the fact that medical tests are far from being perfect or innocuous. The inappropriate use of diagnostic tests also contributes to the growing cost of medical care.”

http://www.nobelprize.org/mediaplayer/?id=531

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